OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ Ligue 2 · Saturday 24 October 2026, 18:45 UTC · finished
St Etienne 2.00 1 - 0 1.40 Nantes
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 60.2%60%+0.4%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 85.0%87%-1.9%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 79.9%79%+0.7%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 57.6%56%+2.1%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 48.6%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson72.6%16.1%11.3%
xgboost63.6%19.8%16.7%
logistic57.1%25.7%17.2%
Inputs the models saw
St EtienneNantes
Elo (pre-match)15801451
Surface Elo15801451
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.001.40
Form trend-0.300.50
Season points per game2.440.89
Season goals for / game2.441.22
Season goals against / game0.891.78
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W2 W · 6 D
St Etienne: last 5
17 OctARed Star1 - 0W
10 OctHRodez2 - 0W
19 SepAMetz2 - 2D
12 SepADunkerque1 - 2L
05 SepHMontpellier3 - 1W
Nantes: last 5
17 OctHDunkerque2 - 3L
17 OctHDunkerque2 - 3L
10 OctHReims0 - 0D
10 OctHReims0 - 0D
19 SepABoulogne2 - 1W
Head to head
19 Jan 2025St Etienne1 - 1Nantes
29 Sep 2024Nantes2 - 2St Etienne
21 May 2022Nantes1 - 1St Etienne
22 Dec 2021St Etienne0 - 1Nantes
03 Feb 2021St Etienne1 - 1Nantes
20 Sep 2020Nantes2 - 2St Etienne
12 Jan 2020St Etienne0 - 2Nantes
10 Nov 2019Nantes2 - 3St Etienne
30 Jan 2019Nantes1 - 1St Etienne
30 Nov 2018St Etienne3 - 0Nantes
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.9025.6%24 Oct 19:45
Bet3651X2draw3.6027.8%24 Oct 19:45
Bet3651X2home1.7357.8%24 Oct 19:45
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.8055.6%24 Oct 19:45
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.0050.0%24 Oct 19:45
Generated 2026-10-30 15:54 UTC