| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 45.3% | 49% | -3.5% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.1% | 84% | -7.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 56.8% | 65% | -8.2% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.4% | 64% | -0.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 61.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 45.5% | 23.3% | 31.2% |
| xgboost | 38.2% | 27.1% | 34.7% |
| logistic | 39.2% | 27.8% | 33.0% |
| Dijon | Rodez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1445 | 1473 |
| Surface Elo | 1445 | 1473 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.33 | 0.78 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.78 | 1.56 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.78 | 2.33 |
| Rest days | 7 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 16 Oct | A | Reims | 2 - 4 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Reims | 2 - 4 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Metz | 4 - 2 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Annecy | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Sep | H | Laval | 3 - 2 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Montpellier | 0 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | St Etienne | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Nancy | 3 - 4 | L |
| 11 Sep | H | Grenoble | 0 - 1 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Metz | 1 - 4 | L |
| 08 Apr 2023 | Dijon | 1 - 0 | Rodez |
| 30 Dec 2022 | Rodez | 2 - 1 | Dijon |
| 15 Jan 2022 | Rodez | 0 - 2 | Dijon |
| 07 Aug 2021 | Dijon | 1 - 1 | Rodez |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 24 Oct 13:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 24 Oct 13:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.95 | 51.3% | 24 Oct 13:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.60 | 62.5% | 24 Oct 13:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 24 Oct 13:00 |