| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.2% | 49% | -3.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.3% | 80% | -7.2% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 60.7% | 65% | -4.3% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.2% | 68% | -15.9% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.2% | 25.6% | 30.1% |
| xgboost | 41.1% | 26.0% | 32.9% |
| logistic | 37.6% | 30.3% | 32.1% |
| Waalwijk | FC Emmen | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1419 | 1422 |
| Surface Elo | 1419 | 1422 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 503 | 1224 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 2 D |
| 26 Sep | A | Roda JC Kerkrade | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 May | H | Go Ahead Eagles | 5 - 3 | W |
| 14 May | A | Feyenoord | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 May | H | Heerenveen | 3 - 1 | W |
| 03 May | A | Groningen | 1 - 6 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | TOP Oss | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 May | A | Utrecht | 2 - 3 | L |
| 21 May | H | Feyenoord | 1 - 3 | L |
| 14 May | A | AZ Alkmaar | 1 - 5 | L |
| 07 May | H | Twente | 0 - 3 | L |
| 28 Jan 2023 | Waalwijk | 2 - 0 | FC Emmen |
| 13 Aug 2022 | FC Emmen | 1 - 1 | Waalwijk |
| 04 Apr 2021 | FC Emmen | 3 - 1 | Waalwijk |
| 12 Feb 2021 | Waalwijk | 1 - 0 | FC Emmen |
| 24 Nov 2019 | Waalwijk | 1 - 1 | FC Emmen |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.00 | 33.3% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.51 | 66.2% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 03 Oct 06:15 |