| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.4% | 63% | -6.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.1% | 50.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 61.6% | 38.4% |
| logistic | 56.2% | 43.8% |
| Emerson Jones | Mai Hontama | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1497 | 1440 |
| Surface Elo | 1497 | 1440 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | A | Chenting Zhu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Kaji, Haruka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Ye Xin Ma | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Ye Xin Ma | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Aug | H | Lanlana Tararudee | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Katie Boulter | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Katie Boulter | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Jodie Burrage | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Jul | A | Lilli Tagger | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | A | Diane Parry | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.59 | 62.9% | 06 Oct 06:15 |