| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 78.0% | 82% | -4.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 29.9% | 70.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 18.9% | 81.1% |
| logistic | 27.4% | 72.6% |
| Alejo Sanchez Quilez | Luka Mikrut | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1539 | 1821 |
| Surface Elo | 1539 | 1821 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 2.54 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.14 | 1.46 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.29 | 0.54 |
| Rest days | 2 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | A | Max Alcala Gurri | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Ivan Gakhov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Zsombor Piros | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Luka Mikrut | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Andrej Nedic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Tiago Pereira | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Sumit Nagal | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Tiago Pereira | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Vilius Gaubas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 2 - 0 | Luka Mikrut |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.23 | 81.3% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.95 | 25.3% | 16 Oct 06:15 |