OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
⚽ Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 07 November 2026, 14:30 UTC · finished
RB Leipzig 1.80 5 - 2 0.40 Augsburg
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 66.8%67%-0.6%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 85.3%85%+0.1%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 82.3%82%+0.7%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 73.4%79%-5.3%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 66.3%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson64.5%19.5%15.9%
xgboost74.4%12.6%13.0%
logistic65.9%20.9%13.2%
Inputs the models saw
RB LeipzigAugsburg
Elo (pre-match)17221594
Surface Elo17221594
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.800.40
Form trend-0.600.00
Season points per game2.250.50
Season goals for / game3.251.75
Season goals against / game1.502.25
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)6 W0 W · 4 D
RB Leipzig: last 5
04 NovHManchester City2 - 3L
31 OctASchalke 042 - 0W
31 OctASchalke 042 - 0W
27 OctARot-Weiss Essen2 - 1W
24 OctHElversberg4 - 0W
Augsburg: last 5
31 OctHFreiburg1 - 2L
31 OctHFreiburg1 - 2L
27 OctASG Sonnenhof Grossaspach4 - 2W
24 OctHUnion Berlin1 - 1D
24 OctHUnion Berlin1 - 1D
Head to head
07 Mar 2026RB Leipzig2 - 1Augsburg
25 Oct 2025Augsburg0 - 6RB Leipzig
14 Feb 2025Augsburg0 - 0RB Leipzig
28 Sep 2024RB Leipzig4 - 0Augsburg
10 Feb 2024Augsburg2 - 2RB Leipzig
16 Sep 2023RB Leipzig3 - 0Augsburg
15 Apr 2023RB Leipzig3 - 2Augsburg
22 Oct 2022Augsburg3 - 3RB Leipzig
08 May 2022RB Leipzig4 - 0Augsburg
15 Dec 2021Augsburg1 - 1RB Leipzig
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away5.8017.2%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw5.6417.7%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.4967.1%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.2778.7%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under4.0025.0%06 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:01 UTC