OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-09-25
🎾 ATP Challenger Buenos Aires II, ARG Men Singles · Friday 25 September 2026, 17:20 UTC · finished
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo 2.40 1 - 0 2.40 Juan Pablo Varillas
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win selected72.3%47%+25.0%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov37.3%62.7%
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost22.5%77.5%
logistic35.2%64.8%
Inputs the models saw
Joaquin Aguilar CardozoJuan Pablo Varillas
Elo (pre-match)15031677
Surface Elo15031677
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.402.40
Form trend-0.300.00
Season points per game3.003.00
Season goals for / game1.672.00
Season goals against / game0.331.00
Rest days12
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W1 W · 0 D
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo: last 5
23 SepAFrancisco Comesana2 - 1W
22 SepACarlos Maria Zarate2 - 0W
21 SepHMateo Del Pino1 - 0W
21 SepAAlex Barrena0 - 2L
21 SepHJuan Pablo Varillas2 - 0W
Juan Pablo Varillas: last 5
23 SepAMurkel Dellien2 - 1W
22 SepATomas Farjat2 - 1W
21 SepAJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo0 - 2L
21 SepHMurkel Dellien2 - 1W
21 SepHTomas Farjat2 - 1W
Head to head
21 Sep 2026Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo2 - 0Juan Pablo Varillas
23 Feb 2026Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo1 - 2Juan Pablo Varillas
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.2544.4%25 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.6062.5%25 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:07 UTC