| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 74.0% | 91% | -16.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 21.7% | 78.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 11.1% | 88.9% |
| logistic | 30.1% | 69.9% |
| Carlos Maria Zarate | Francisco Comesana | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1446 | 1677 |
| Surface Elo | 1446 | 1677 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 1.88 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.80 | 1.63 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.40 | 1.13 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Franco Ribero | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Francisco Comesana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Franco Ribero | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Nick Hardt | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Carlos Maria Zarate | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Nick Hardt | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Carlos Maria Zarate | 2 - 1 | Francisco Comesana |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.10 | 90.9% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 6.20 | 16.1% | 22 Oct 06:15 |