| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 45.2% | 36% | +9.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.0% | 76% | -2.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 59.2% | 51% | +8.3% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.7% | 54% | -0.1% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.6% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.6% | 26.7% | 29.7% |
| xgboost | 38.2% | 28.6% | 33.2% |
| logistic | 42.8% | 29.4% | 27.8% |
| Juve Stabia | Verona | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1477 | 1443 |
| Surface Elo | 1477 | 1443 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.13 | 1.88 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.63 |
| Rest days | 4 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Cremonese | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Cremonese | 1 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Sudtirol | 3 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Sudtirol | 3 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Virtus Entella | 1 - 1 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | Pisa | 1 - 1 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | Pisa | 1 - 1 | D |
| 16 Oct | H | Catanzaro | 2 - 2 | D |
| 16 Oct | H | Catanzaro | 2 - 2 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Modena | 2 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 28 Oct 19:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.20 | 31.2% | 28 Oct 19:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 3.10 | 32.3% | 28 Oct 19:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.75 | 57.1% | 28 Oct 19:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.05 | 48.8% | 28 Oct 19:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.80 | 35.7% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.87 | 53.5% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.90 | 52.6% | 28 Oct 06:15 |