| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.1% | 53% | +2.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.7% | 47.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 64.4% | 35.5% |
| logistic | 48.9% | 51.1% |
| Jonas Forejtek | Martin Krumich | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1582 | 1577 |
| Surface Elo | 1582 | 1577 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.50 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.83 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | H | Sandro Kopp | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Francesco Passaro | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Alejandro Moro Canas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Michele Ribecai | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Martin Krumich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Samuele Pieri | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Jonas Forejtek | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Samuele Pieri | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Matthew William Donald | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Pierluigi Basile | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Jonas Forejtek | 2 - 0 | Martin Krumich |
| 02 Sep 2024 | Jonas Forejtek | 0 - 2 | Martin Krumich |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.87 | 53.5% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.87 | 53.5% | 07 Oct 06:15 |