| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.0% | 64% | -9.0% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 81.6% | 86% | -4.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 73.9% | 81% | -7.3% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.8% | 60% | -2.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 54.3% | 23.9% | 21.7% |
| xgboost | 55.7% | 24.8% | 19.4% |
| logistic | 58.9% | 24.6% | 16.5% |
| Juventus | Rennes | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1761 | 1735 |
| Surface Elo | 1761 | 1735 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Oct | H | Lazio | 0 - 3 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Lazio | 0 - 3 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Celta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Cagliari | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Cagliari | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18 Oct | A | Paris FC | 3 - 4 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Paris FC | 3 - 4 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | OFI Crete | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Auxerre | 4 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Auxerre | 4 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.75 | 14.8% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.94 | 20.2% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.49 | 67.1% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.63 | 61.4% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.35 | 42.5% | 22 Oct 06:15 |