OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ England Championship · Saturday 10 October 2026, 11:30 UTC · finished
West Brom 1.60 0 - 1 1.20 Birmingham
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 47.5%42%+5.4%✗ miss
DCHome or away 74.5%75%-0.9%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 60.2%58%+1.9%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 53.8%51%+2.3%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 54.8%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson38.8%30.0%31.2%
xgboost38.3%26.9%34.8%
logistic34.9%28.4%36.7%
Inputs the models saw
West BromBirmingham
Elo (pre-match)15401584
Surface Elo15401584
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.601.20
Form trend0.40-0.20
Season points per game0.001.00
Season goals for / game0.002.00
Season goals against / game1.002.00
Rest days2020
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W4 W · 3 D
West Brom: last 5
09 OctAIpswich Town U212 - 2D
20 SepAWolverhampton Wanderers0 - 1L
20 SepAWolverhampton Wanderers0 - 1L
12 SepHQPR1 - 1D
09 SepADerby1 - 0W
Birmingham: last 5
19 SepHMiddlesbrough2 - 2D
19 SepHMiddlesbrough2 - 2D
12 SepADerby2 - 1W
09 SepANorwich1 - 2L
06 SepHWolverhampton Wanderers2 - 2D
Head to head
10 Feb 2026Birmingham0 - 0West Brom
26 Nov 2025West Brom1 - 1Birmingham
03 Feb 2024West Brom1 - 0Birmingham
06 Oct 2023Birmingham3 - 1West Brom
10 Feb 2023Birmingham2 - 0West Brom
14 Sep 2022West Brom2 - 3Birmingham
03 Apr 2022Birmingham1 - 0West Brom
15 Oct 2021West Brom1 - 0Birmingham
20 Jun 2020West Brom0 - 0Birmingham
14 Dec 2019Birmingham2 - 3West Brom
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.0432.9%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.5228.4%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.3941.8%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.0050.0%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.8454.4%09 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:06 UTC