| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.0% | 68% | -11.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.1% | 50.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 42.1% | 57.8% |
| logistic | 43.3% | 56.7% |
| Max Wiskandt | Massimo Giunta | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1461 | 1522 |
| Surface Elo | 1461 | 1522 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.88 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.17 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | A | Pedro Vives Marcos | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Miguel Damas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Massimo Giunta | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Pedro Vives Marcos | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Miguel Damas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Pavel Lagutin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Henry Searle | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Gianluca Cadenasso | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Max Wiskandt | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Pavel Lagutin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Massimo Giunta | 2 - 0 | Max Wiskandt |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.47 | 68.0% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.55 | 39.2% | 16 Oct 06:15 |