| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.5% | 50% | +7.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 65.3% | 34.6% |
| logistic | 49.2% | 50.8% |
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | Sergey Fomin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1465 | 1495 |
| Surface Elo | 1465 | 1495 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 9 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | H | Petr Bar Biryukov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | James Trotter | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Sergey Fomin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Omar Jasika | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Ilia Simakin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Yi Zhou | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Khumoyun Sultanov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | A | Aziz Dougaz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | A | Masamichi Imamura | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | 2 - 0 | Sergey Fomin |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.76 | 56.8% | 16 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.99 | 50.2% | 16 Sep 06:15 |