OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ Scotland Premiership · Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Aberdeen 1.00 3 - 1 0.60 St Mirren
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 46.9%53%-6.2%✓ hit
DCHome or away 75.1%78%-2.6%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 60.1%71%-11.1%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 53.8%48%+5.6%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 50.5%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson45.3%29.0%25.7%
xgboost42.8%24.2%33.0%
logistic35.4%28.8%35.8%
Inputs the models saw
AberdeenSt Mirren
Elo (pre-match)15761574
Surface Elo15761574
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.000.60
Form trend0.000.60
Season points per game0.500.00
Season goals for / game0.500.00
Season goals against / game1.004.00
Rest days67
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W7 W · 1 D
Aberdeen: last 5
13 OctAElgin1 - 0W
11 OctHSt Johnstone0 - 1L
11 OctHSt Johnstone0 - 1L
26 SepACove Rangers1 - 2L
22 SepABanks O´Dee FC1 - 2L
St Mirren: last 5
13 OctAEdinburgh City5 - 0W
10 OctAHeart of Midlothian FC0 - 5L
10 OctAHearts0 - 5L
26 SepACumbernauld Colts FC4 - 2W
22 SepAClydebank FC1 - 2L
Head to head
12 May 2026Aberdeen0 - 2St Mirren
04 Apr 2026St Mirren2 - 0Aberdeen
03 Dec 2025Aberdeen3 - 3St Mirren
18 Oct 2025St Mirren0 - 1Aberdeen
03 May 2025St Mirren1 - 0Aberdeen
25 Jan 2025Aberdeen0 - 3St Mirren
23 Nov 2024St Mirren2 - 1Aberdeen
11 Aug 2024Aberdeen3 - 1St Mirren
02 Mar 2024St Mirren2 - 1Aberdeen
30 Dec 2023Aberdeen0 - 3St Mirren
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away4.0824.5%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7926.4%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.8853.2%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7756.5%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0548.8%16 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:06 UTC