| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.2% | 52% | +5.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 34.5% | 65.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 47.4% | 52.5% |
| logistic | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Giorgio Tabacco | Alexander Weis | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1476 | 1538 |
| Surface Elo | 1476 | 1538 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.10 | 2.63 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.88 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.60 | 0.63 |
| Rest days | 25 | 26 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | H | Matthew William Donald | 0 - 1 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Branko Djuric | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Fausto Tabacco | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Sciahbasi, Matteo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Andrey Chepelev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Matthew William Donald | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Lorenzo Berto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Jadon Price | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Daniel Michalski | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Andrey Chepelev | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.82 | 54.9% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.88 | 53.2% | 11 Nov 06:15 |