| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.6% | 54% | +4.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 52.0% | 32.9% |
| xgboost | 67.5% | 31.0% |
| logistic | 58.7% | 41.3% |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | Nashville Predators | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1479 | 1448 |
| Surface Elo | 1479 | 1448 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.36 | 2.56 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.45 | 3.33 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | H | Florida Panthers | 4 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 4 - 5 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Vegas Golden Knights | 2 - 6 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Colorado Avalanche | 2 - 5 | L |
| 14 Oct | A | Chicago Blackhawks | 3 - 5 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Boston Bruins | 0 - 6 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | St. Louis Blues | 5 - 2 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | San Jose Sharks | 2 - 3 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Vegas Golden Knights | 2 - 5 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Ottawa Senators | 2 - 3 | L |
| 16 Nov 2025 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 4 - 0 | Nashville Predators |
| 14 Nov 2025 | Nashville Predators | 2 - 1 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| 02 Feb 2025 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 3 - 0 | Nashville Predators |
| 20 Dec 2024 | Nashville Predators | 4 - 5 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.86 | 53.8% | 24 Oct 21:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 24 Oct 21:20 |