| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.8% | 70% | -5.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 62.6% | 37.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 63.0% | 36.9% |
| logistic | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| Luca Wiedenmann | Leo Borg | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1513 | 1414 |
| Surface Elo | 1513 | 1414 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 16 Oct | A | Samir Hamza Reguig | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Kris Van Wyk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | John Echeverria | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Isaac Nortey | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Andrea Colombo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Picard, Mathys | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Rocco Piatti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Freire Da Silva, Adan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Nov | A | Johan Nikles | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Nov | H | Matthias Ujvary | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.42 | 70.4% | 17 Oct 06:15 |