| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.1% | 51% | +2.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 40.3% | 59.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 63.4% | 36.5% |
| logistic | 50.1% | 49.9% |
| Laurent Lokoli | Georgii Kravchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1527 | 1517 |
| Surface Elo | 1527 | 1517 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | George Loffhagen | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Georgii Kravchenko | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Dessi, Marco | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Ivan Ivanov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Gabriele Pennaforti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Daniel Masur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Tom Gentzsch | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Laurent Lokoli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Alexander Donski | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Damir Dzumhur | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Georgii Kravchenko | 2 - 1 | Laurent Lokoli |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.77 | 56.5% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.98 | 50.5% | 13 Oct 06:15 |