| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 44.0% | 66% | -21.8% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 72.7% | 88% | -14.8% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 60.4% | 83% | -22.1% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.8% | 72% | -15.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.1% | 26.8% | 26.1% |
| xgboost | 40.7% | 32.5% | 26.8% |
| logistic | 39.3% | 28.3% | 32.3% |
| Sheffield Weds | Accrington | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1408 | 1417 |
| Surface Elo | 1408 | 1417 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 10 | 11 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 0 W · 1 D |
| 08 Nov | A | Oldham | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Nov | H | Blackpool | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Nov | H | Blackpool | 1 - 1 | D |
| 27 Oct | H | Cambridge | 1 - 1 | D |
| 27 Oct | H | Cambridge | 1 - 1 | D |
| 07 Nov | H | Wycombe Wanderers | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Northampton | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Northampton | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Rochdale | 5 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Rochdale | 5 - 0 | W |
| 10 Apr 2023 | Sheffield Weds | 3 - 0 | Accrington |
| 12 Nov 2022 | Accrington | 0 - 1 | Sheffield Weds |
| 15 Mar 2022 | Sheffield Weds | 1 - 1 | Accrington |
| 20 Nov 2021 | Accrington | 2 - 3 | Sheffield Weds |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.20 | 19.2% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.70 | 21.3% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.51 | 66.2% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.38 | 72.5% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.95 | 33.9% | 11 Nov 06:15 |