OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-13
⚽ Germany 3. Liga · Tuesday 13 October 2026, 17:00 UTC · finished
Stuttgart 1.20 3 - 2 0.60 Hoffenheim
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 50.4%35%+15.0%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 76.0%62%+14.5%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 66.1%47%+19.1%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 62.4%72%-9.9%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 60.3%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson58.9%19.8%21.3%
xgboost40.3%30.7%29.0%
logistic43.6%28.2%28.2%
Inputs the models saw
StuttgartHoffenheim
Elo (pre-match)17031609
Surface Elo17031609
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.200.60
Form trend-0.300.00
Season points per game1.001.50
Season goals for / game2.001.50
Season goals against / game2.001.50
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W3 W · 6 D
Stuttgart: last 5
10 OctAPaderborn2 - 0W
10 OctAPaderborn2 - 0W
10 OctASV Meppen 19121 - 1D
01 OctHGreuther Furth5 - 0W
25 SepHHeidenheim3 - 0W
Hoffenheim: last 5
10 OctADuisburg2 - 3L
10 OctHHamburg2 - 3L
10 OctHHamburg2 - 3L
20 SepAPaderborn1 - 3L
19 SepHSV Meppen 19121 - 0W
Head to head
12 Sep 2026Hoffenheim2 - 1Stuttgart
02 May 2026Hoffenheim3 - 3Stuttgart
20 Dec 2025Stuttgart0 - 0Hoffenheim
23 Feb 2025Hoffenheim1 - 1Stuttgart
06 Oct 2024Stuttgart1 - 1Hoffenheim
16 Mar 2024Hoffenheim0 - 3Stuttgart
28 Oct 2023Stuttgart2 - 3Hoffenheim
27 May 2023Stuttgart1 - 1Hoffenheim
24 Jan 2023Hoffenheim2 - 2Stuttgart
25 Feb 2022Hoffenheim2 - 1Stuttgart
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.1546.5%13 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.8026.3%13 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.0033.3%13 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3971.9%13 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.9533.9%13 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:22 UTC