| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.9% | 66% | -8.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.3% | 55.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 44.6% | 55.3% |
| logistic | 43.2% | 56.8% |
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Rafael Jodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1879 | 1989 |
| Surface Elo | 1879 | 1989 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Oct | H | Rafael Jodar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Arthur Fils | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Arthur Fils | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Alex Michelsen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Alex Michelsen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Jiri Lehecka | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Jiri Lehecka | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 1 - 2 | Rafael Jodar |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.51 | 66.2% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.65 | 37.7% | 13 Oct 06:15 |