| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.5% | 58% | -6.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 81.6% | 88% | -6.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 72.1% | 79% | -6.5% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.5% | 55% | +1.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.7% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 49.4% | 30.3% | 20.3% |
| xgboost | 49.7% | 32.4% | 17.9% |
| logistic | 53.3% | 27.3% | 19.4% |
| Getafe | Albacete | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1599 | 1390 |
| Surface Elo | 1599 | 1390 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 4.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | A | CS Universitatea Craiova | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | CD Guadalajara B | 1 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Barcelona | 0 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Barcelona | 0 - 3 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Numancia | 0 - 0 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Sp Gijon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Sporting Gijon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Valladolid | 0 - 5 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Valladolid | 0 - 5 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | CF Talavera de La Reina | 0 - 1 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.90 | 25.6% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.33 | 30.0% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.73 | 57.8% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.85 | 54.0% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.82 | 54.9% | 18 Oct 06:15 |