OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-11
⚽ Scotland Premiership · Sunday 11 October 2026, 13:00 UTC · finished
Aberdeen 1.00 0 - 1 1.00 St Johnstone
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 44.4%31%+13.7%✓ hit
DCHome or away 73.2%76%-2.3%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 56.6%42%+14.3%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 57.6%53%+4.4%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 52.8%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson39.5%29.1%31.4%
xgboost28.8%31.8%39.4%
logistic32.7%28.5%38.7%
Inputs the models saw
AberdeenSt Johnstone
Elo (pre-match)15911671
Surface Elo15911671
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.001.00
Form trend-0.50-0.10
Season points per game1.001.00
Season goals for / game1.001.00
Season goals against / game1.001.00
Rest days2121
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W1 W · 4 D
Aberdeen: last 5
26 SepACove Rangers1 - 2L
22 SepABanks O´Dee FC1 - 2L
19 SepAHibernian1 - 1D
19 SepAHibernian1 - 1D
15 SepAMotherwell4 - 0W
St Johnstone: last 5
19 SepHFalkirk1 - 1D
19 SepHFalkirk1 - 1D
09 SepHCeltic0 - 1L
06 SepHHibernian2 - 1W
02 SepADundee1 - 1D
Head to head
15 Mar 2025St Johnstone0 - 0Aberdeen
07 Dec 2024Aberdeen1 - 1St Johnstone
05 Aug 2024St Johnstone1 - 2Aberdeen
04 May 2024Aberdeen1 - 0St Johnstone
28 Feb 2024Aberdeen0 - 2St Johnstone
24 Jan 2024St Johnstone1 - 1Aberdeen
08 Oct 2023Aberdeen0 - 0St Johnstone
01 Apr 2023St Johnstone0 - 1Aberdeen
07 Jan 2023Aberdeen2 - 0St Johnstone
20 Aug 2022St Johnstone0 - 1Aberdeen
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.2630.7%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.5028.6%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.2344.8%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.9351.8%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.8853.2%09 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:24 UTC