| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 47.9% | 43% | +5.3% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.0% | 79% | -3.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 60.4% | 59% | +1.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.2% | 53% | -1.0% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 38.8% | 26.1% | 35.0% |
| xgboost | 26.7% | 30.2% | 43.1% |
| logistic | 37.3% | 26.4% | 36.3% |
| Waregem | Gent | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1543 | 1640 |
| Surface Elo | 1543 | 1640 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | 0.70 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.57 | 2.71 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.43 | 1.86 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.57 |
| Rest days | 21 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 7 W · 1 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Anderlecht | 0 - 3 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Charleroi | 0 - 1 | L |
| 06 Sep | A | Kortrijk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Westerlo | 2 - 2 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | Waasland-Beveren | 4 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Standard | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Genk | 1 - 1 | D |
| 06 Sep | A | Cercle Brugge | 3 - 0 | W |
| 03 Sep | H | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 1 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Club Brugge | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Mar 2026 | Gent | 2 - 0 | Waregem |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Waregem | 4 - 1 | Gent |
| 12 Mar 2023 | Waregem | 2 - 6 | Gent |
| 11 Sep 2022 | Gent | 2 - 0 | Waregem |
| 06 Mar 2022 | Gent | 2 - 1 | Waregem |
| 20 Nov 2021 | Waregem | 1 - 2 | Gent |
| 18 Apr 2021 | Waregem | 2 - 7 | Gent |
| 29 Nov 2020 | Gent | 0 - 3 | Waregem |
| 07 Dec 2019 | Gent | 2 - 0 | Waregem |
| 22 Sep 2019 | Waregem | 2 - 2 | Gent |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 10 Oct 19:45 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.10 | 32.3% | 10 Oct 19:45 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.70 | 37.0% | 10 Oct 19:45 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.30 | 43.5% | 10 Oct 19:45 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.60 | 62.5% | 10 Oct 19:45 |