| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 60.3% | 60% | +0.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 38.4% | 61.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 37.6% | 62.3% |
| logistic | 41.2% | 58.8% |
| Coleman Wong | Lloyd Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1753 | 1857 |
| Surface Elo | 1753 | 1857 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 0.40 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | H | Cruz Hewitt | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Daniil Medvedev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Daniil Medvedev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Alex Bolt | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Alexis Galarneau | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Mattia Bellucci | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Alex Bolt | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Andre Ilagan | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.66 | 60.2% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 06 Oct 06:15 |