| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.7% | 75% | -7.9% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 57.7% | 42.2% |
| logistic | 79.6% | 20.4% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Lorenzo Musetti | Luca Van Assche | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 2029 | 1835 |
| Surface Elo | 2029 | 1835 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W 路 0 D |
| 05 Nov | H | Luca Van Assche | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Hubert Hurkacz | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Hubert Hurkacz | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Lorenzo Musetti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Learner Tien | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Learner Tien | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Mariano Navone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Mariano Navone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov 2026 | Lorenzo Musetti | 1 - 2 | Luca Van Assche |
| 23 Oct 2026 | Luca Van Assche | 1 - 2 | Lorenzo Musetti |
| 23 Oct 2026 | Lorenzo Musetti | 2 - 1 | Luca Van Assche |
| 15 Jan 2024 | Lorenzo Musetti | 2 - 3 | Luca Van Assche |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.35 | 74.1% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| 1xBet | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 3.33 | 30.0% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.33 | 75.2% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 3.30 | 30.3% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.34 | 74.6% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 3.40 | 29.4% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.30 | 76.9% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 3.05 | 32.8% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.37 | 73.0% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 3.60 | 27.8% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.39 | 71.9% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Luca Van Assche | 3.70 | 27.0% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.34 | 74.6% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 3.40 | 29.4% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.34 | 74.6% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 3.30 | 30.3% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.35 | 74.1% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 3.45 | 29.0% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| GTbets | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.35 | 74.1% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| GTbets | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 3.26 | 30.7% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.38 | 72.5% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 3.05 | 32.8% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.37 | 73.0% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 3.60 | 27.8% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.39 | 71.9% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Luca Van Assche | 3.70 | 27.0% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.34 | 74.6% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 3.30 | 30.3% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.34 | 74.6% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 3.53 | 28.3% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.33 | 75.2% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 2.90 | 34.5% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.34 | 74.6% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| Tipico | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.27 | 78.7% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Tipico | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 3.40 | 29.4% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.27 | 78.7% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 3.05 | 32.8% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.38 | 72.5% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 3.05 | 32.8% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.38 | 72.5% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 3.05 | 32.8% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.33 | 75.2% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 3.30 | 30.3% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.33 | 75.2% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 3.30 | 30.3% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.29 | 77.5% | 05 Nov 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 3.00 | 33.3% | 05 Nov 06:01 |