| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.0% | 70% | -10.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 59.5% | 40.5% |
| logistic | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Rebecca Sramkova | Mona Barthel | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1484 | 1381 |
| Surface Elo | 1484 | 1381 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 9 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 11 Oct | H | Kyoka Okamura | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Claire Liu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Jodie Burrage | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Maja Chwalinska | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Maja Chwalinska | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Lucia Bronzetti | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | de Stefano, Samira | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Basiletti, Noemi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Mia Ristic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Francesca Jones | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.62 | 38.2% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.43 | 69.9% | 20 Oct 06:15 |