| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.9% | 67% | -9.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.3% | 48.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 64.7% | 35.3% |
| logistic | 54.9% | 45.1% |
| Terence Atmane | Taro Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1779 | 1681 |
| Surface Elo | 1779 | 1681 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 5 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Mattia Bellucci | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Mattia Bellucci | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Rinky Hijikata | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Garrett Johns | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Andre Ilagan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Fabian Marozsan | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.50 | 66.7% | 28 Oct 06:15 |