| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 50.8% | 57% | -6.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.6% | 35.0% |
| xgboost | 48.2% | 51.7% |
| logistic | 48.4% | 51.6% |
| Tiago Pereira | Pieczonka, Filip | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1400 | 1500 |
| Surface Elo | 1400 | 1500 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 8 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | A | Filip Pieczonka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Marco Trungelliti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Gustavo Heide | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Francisco Rocha | 2 - 0 | W |
| No results yet. |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.75 | 57.1% | 15 Sep 09:05 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.00 | 50.0% | 15 Sep 09:05 |