| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.8% | 51% | +6.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.8% | 55.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 67.8% | 32.1% |
| logistic | 54.9% | 45.1% |
| Adrian Andreev | Oleg Prihodko | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1513 | 1469 |
| Surface Elo | 1513 | 1469 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 22 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | A | Dusan Obradovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Jonas Forejtek | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Izan Almazan Valiente | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Ivan Ivanov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Oleg Prihodko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Adrian Andreev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Maxim Mrva | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Jul | A | Matyas Fuele | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Jul | A | Alex Barrena | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 May | H | Taro Daniel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Adrian Andreev | 2 - 0 | Oleg Prihodko |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.79 | 55.9% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.95 | 51.3% | 22 Sep 06:15 |