OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-30

🎾 ITF M25 Norman, OK · Friday 30 October 2026, 17:00 UTC · scheduled

Lui Maxted 1.20 17:00 0.00 Bruno Kuzuhara

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	63.3%	72%	-9.1%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
markov	52.9%	47.1%
poisson	37.0%	35.2%
xgboost	72.5%	27.4%
logistic	67.3%	32.7%

Inputs the models saw

	Lui Maxted	Bruno Kuzuhara
Elo (pre-match)	1504	1374
Surface Elo	1504	1374
Form, last 5 (PPG)	1.20	0.00
Form trend	0.90	0.00
Season points per game	2.25	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.75	1.50
Season goals against / game	0.75	1.50
Rest days	9	102
Head-to-head (last 10)	0 W	0 W · 0 D

Lui Maxted: last 5

20 Oct	A	Sander Jong	0 - 2	L
19 Oct	H	Sander Jong	0 - 2	L
17 Oct	H	Cosme Rolland De Ravel	1 - 2	L
16 Oct	H	Andrew Fenty	2 - 1	W
15 Oct	H	Roger Pascual Ferra	2 - 0	W

Bruno Kuzuhara: last 5

20 Jul	H	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0 - 2	L
13 Apr	H	Hynek Barton	1 - 2	L
06 Apr	A	Andy Andrade	1 - 2	L
12 Jan	H	Franco Agamenone	0 - 2	L
17 Nov	H	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0 - 2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings in our data.

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
SportyBet	1X2	away	2.80	35.7%	30 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	1.38	72.5%	30 Oct 06:15

Generated 2026-10-30 13:57 UTC