| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 60.5% | 39.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 61.6% | 38.3% |
| logistic | 51.9% | 48.1% |
| Nuno Borges | Ignacio Buse | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1890 | 1800 |
| Surface Elo | 1890 | 1800 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 1.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.22 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.11 | 1.20 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | A | Ignacio Buse | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Karen Khachanov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Karen Khachanov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Moise Kouame | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Alex Molcan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | H | Nuno Borges | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | H | Daniil Medvedev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Daniil Medvedev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Zizou Bergs | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Zizou Bergs | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov 2026 | Ignacio Buse | 0 - 2 | Nuno Borges |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||