| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 45.7% | 41% | +4.9% | abandoned |
| DC | Home or away | 73.5% | 79% | -5.8% | abandoned |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 59.8% | 55% | +5.3% | abandoned |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 48.4% | 40% | +8.4% | abandoned |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.9% | no line | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 39.8% | 24.7% | 35.5% |
| xgboost | 39.4% | 28.3% | 32.3% |
| logistic | 40.7% | 27.8% | 31.5% |
| Barnsley | Milton Keynes Dons | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1452 | 1519 |
| Surface Elo | 1452 | 1519 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.70 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 14 | 15 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 1 D |
| 22 Sep | H | Leeds | 3 - 4 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Leicester | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Leicester | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Plymouth | 0 - 3 | L |
| 05 Sep | H | Stevenage | 1 - 5 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Crawley Town | 4 - 1 | W |
| 17 Sep | A | AFC Wimbledon | 0 - 0 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Peterboro | 1 - 1 | D |
| 05 Sep | A | Wycombe | 3 - 3 | D |
| 02 Sep | A | Wigan | 1 - 3 | L |
| 29 Apr 2023 | Milton Keynes Dons | 4 - 4 | Barnsley |
| 19 Nov 2022 | Barnsley | 3 - 1 | Milton Keynes Dons |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.60 | 38.5% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.45 | 40.8% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.49 | 67.1% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 03 Oct 06:15 |