| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.7% | 24% | +31.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 78.7% | 53% | +25.8% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 71.1% | 32% | +38.6% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.4% | 62% | -10.3% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 52.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 22.6% | 26.1% | 51.3% |
| xgboost | 24.8% | 21.5% | 53.7% |
| logistic | 10.2% | 16.4% | 73.3% |
| Concarneau | Paris FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1368 | 1716 |
| Surface Elo | 1368 | 1716 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 868 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 19 Sep | H | Caen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 May | A | Auxerre | 1 - 4 | L |
| 10 May | H | Bordeaux | 4 - 2 | W |
| 03 May | A | Grenoble | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Apr | H | Rodez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Bastia | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Strasbourg | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Bourg Peronnas | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Lyon | 0 - 0 | D |
| 06 Sep | A | Marseille | 3 - 2 | W |
| 17 Feb 2024 | Concarneau | 2 - 2 | Paris FC |
| 26 Aug 2023 | Paris FC | 3 - 0 | Concarneau |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.25 | 23.5% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.86 | 53.8% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.25 | 44.4% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.62 | 61.7% | 03 Oct 06:15 |