| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.4% | 67% | -2.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.5% | 55.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 37.3% | 62.6% |
| logistic | 36.2% | 63.8% |
| Stefan Kozlov | Aidan Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1569 | 1717 |
| Surface Elo | 1569 | 1717 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 2.17 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.11 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | A | Clement Chidekh | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Braden Shick | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Murphy Cassone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Andres Martin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Aidan Mayo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Nov | H | Andres Andrade | 1 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Max Hans Rehberg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Alastair Gray | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Petr Nesterov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Kenta Miyoshi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov 2026 | Aidan Mayo | 1 - 2 | Stefan Kozlov |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Aidan Mayo | 1 - 2 | Stefan Kozlov |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.49 | 67.1% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.50 | 40.0% | 08 Nov 06:15 |