| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 74.2% | 78% | -3.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.3% | 56.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 22.8% | 77.1% |
| logistic | 27.3% | 72.7% |
| Ryan Nijboer | Filip Misolic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1516 | 1649 |
| Surface Elo | 1516 | 1649 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.62 | 1.93 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.15 | 1.36 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.79 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | A | Juan Bautista Torres | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Lorenzo Gagliardo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Juan Bautista Torres | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Lorenzo Gagliardo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Lorenzo Claverie | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | A | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Juan Pablo Varillas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Mateus Alves | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Juan Pablo Varillas | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.29 | 77.5% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.35 | 29.8% | 08 Nov 06:15 |