| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 76.2% | 88% | -11.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 70.9% | 29.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 86.7% | 13.3% |
| logistic | 54.7% | 45.3% |
| Samuel Vincent Ruggeri | Kris Van Wyk | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1565 | 1488 |
| Surface Elo | 1565 | 1488 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 605 | 437 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Sep | H | Youssef Kadiri Hassani | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Jan | A | Daniel Masur | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Jan | A | Liam Draxl | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Jan | A | Matej Dodig | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Nov | A | Kimmer Coppejans | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Jul | H | Liam Draxl | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Jul | A | Alexander Rozin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 May | A | Ilia Simakin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Apr | A | Kirill Kivattsev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Apr | H | Maximus Jones | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Feb 2024 | Kris Van Wyk | 0 - 2 | Samuel Vincent Ruggeri |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.00 | 20.0% | 24 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.14 | 87.7% | 24 Sep 06:15 |