| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.8% | 58% | -2.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 79.4% | 79% | +0.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 72.0% | 77% | -5.1% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.0% | 56% | +9.4% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 63.9% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 17.7% | 20.5% | 61.7% |
| xgboost | 28.0% | 18.9% | 53.1% |
| logistic | 19.9% | 26.0% | 54.0% |
| OFI Crete | PAOK | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1524 | 1751 |
| Surface Elo | 1524 | 1751 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.33 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 1.67 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 6 W · 2 D |
| 22 Oct | H | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Kalamata | 3 - 4 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | PAE PS Kalamata | 3 - 4 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Rennes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | AEK | 0 - 3 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Anagennisi Karditsas 1904 | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Apollon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Iraklis | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Iraklis | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Kalamata | 1 - 3 | L |
| 18 Jan 2026 | PAOK | 3 - 0 | OFI Crete |
| 14 Sep 2025 | OFI Crete | 1 - 2 | PAOK |
| 08 Feb 2025 | OFI Crete | 0 - 5 | PAOK |
| 27 Oct 2024 | PAOK | 1 - 2 | OFI Crete |
| 03 Jan 2024 | PAOK | 4 - 0 | OFI Crete |
| 03 Sep 2023 | OFI Crete | 1 - 0 | PAOK |
| 14 Jan 2023 | PAOK | 0 - 0 | OFI Crete |
| 18 Sep 2022 | OFI Crete | 1 - 1 | PAOK |
| 15 Jan 2022 | PAOK | 3 - 0 | OFI Crete |
| 03 Oct 2021 | OFI Crete | 1 - 3 | PAOK |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.73 | 57.8% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.75 | 21.1% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.80 | 55.6% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.98 | 50.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |