| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 65.7% | 62% | +3.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 35.1% | 64.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 40.2% | 59.7% |
| logistic | 39.5% | 60.5% |
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | Javier Barranco Cosano | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1396 | 1491 |
| Surface Elo | 1396 | 1491 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 22 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Federico Aguilar Cardozo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Federico Aguilar Cardozo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | A | Daniel Elahi Galan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Castro, Sergio | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Thiago Cigarran | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Matthew William Donald | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Ryan Nijboer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Oleksii Krutykh | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Oleksii Krutykh | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Hugo Maia | 1 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.60 | 62.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |