OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-09-29
🎾 ATP Challenger Curitiba, Brazil Men Singles · Tuesday 29 September 2026, 13:00 UTC · finished
Felipe Meligeni Alves 0.60 2 - 0 0.60 Carlos Maria Zarate
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 68.1%76%-7.6%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov66.4%33.6%
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost62.8%37.2%
logistic66.5%33.5%
Inputs the models saw
Felipe Meligeni AlvesCarlos Maria Zarate
Elo (pre-match)15641413
Surface Elo15641413
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.600.60
Form trend0.600.60
Season points per game1.500.00
Season goals for / game1.500.00
Season goals against / game1.502.00
Rest days227
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Felipe Meligeni Alves: last 5
28 SepHGustavo Heide0 - 2L
28 SepACarlos Maria Zarate2 - 0W
07 SepHHugo Dellien0 - 2L
01 SepAAlejo Sanchez Quilez0 - 2L
17 AugHMoise Kouame0 - 2L
Carlos Maria Zarate: last 5
28 SepHFelipe Meligeni Alves0 - 2L
22 SepHJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo0 - 2L
21 SepHJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo0 - 2L
15 JunHJuan Sebastian Gomez1 - 2L
08 JunHLuciano Emanuel Ambrogi1 - 2L
Head to head
28 Sep 2026Carlos Maria Zarate0 - 2Felipe Meligeni Alves
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.6027.8%29 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.2679.4%29 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:18 UTC