| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 63.7% | 94% | -30.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.2% | 55.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 20.5% | 79.5% |
| logistic | 39.9% | 60.1% |
| Preston Brown | Corentin Denolly | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1380 | 1488 |
| Surface Elo | 1380 | 1488 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | A | Darrshan Suresh | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Dev Javia | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Claude Ishimwe | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 May | A | Eliakim Coulibaly | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Nov | A | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Warik, C | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Etienne Niyigena | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Apr | A | Beibit Zhukayev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Apr | H | Marc Andrea Huesler | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Mar | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.06 | 94.3% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 7.50 | 13.3% | 08 Oct 06:15 |