OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-26
⚽ League Two · Monday 26 October 2026, 20:00 UTC · finished
Walsall 1.80 2 - 4 3.00 Salford
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 42.7%48%-5.4%✓ hit
DCHome or away 74.2%79%-4.4%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 54.8%66%-11.0%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 53.9%49%+5.2%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 51.1%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson40.2%27.3%32.4%
xgboost30.1%28.3%41.6%
logistic31.1%28.3%40.6%
Inputs the models saw
WalsallSalford
Elo (pre-match)14601562
Surface Elo14601562
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.803.00
Form trend0.000.00
Season points per game1.732.08
Season goals for / game1.451.58
Season goals against / game0.641.00
Rest days66
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W4 W · 1 D
Walsall: last 5
20 OctHOldham3 - 0W
20 OctHOldham3 - 0W
17 OctASwindon1 - 1D
17 OctASwindon1 - 1D
13 OctHFulham3 - 2W
Salford: last 5
20 OctABristol Rvs2 - 1W
20 OctABristol Rovers2 - 1W
17 OctHCrawley Town2 - 1W
17 OctHCrawley Town2 - 1W
10 OctACheltenham2 - 0W
Head to head
10 Mar 2026Salford1 - 0Walsall
23 Aug 2025Walsall1 - 0Salford
01 Feb 2025Walsall2 - 2Salford
21 Sep 2024Salford0 - 2Walsall
01 Apr 2024Walsall2 - 1Salford
09 Sep 2023Salford1 - 2Walsall
22 Apr 2023Walsall2 - 3Salford
31 Jan 2023Salford1 - 0Walsall
26 Mar 2022Salford2 - 1Walsall
09 Oct 2021Walsall2 - 1Salford
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.1047.6%26 Oct 20:00
Bet3651X2draw3.4029.4%26 Oct 20:00
Bet3651X2home3.2530.8%26 Oct 20:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.7058.8%26 Oct 20:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.1047.6%26 Oct 20:00
SportyBet1X2away2.1546.5%26 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.5028.6%26 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.2031.2%26 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7457.5%26 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0548.8%26 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:58 UTC