| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 59.4% | 60% | -0.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 35.9% | 48.2% |
| xgboost | 29.5% | 69.4% |
| logistic | 45.5% | 54.5% |
| Detroit Red Wings | Vegas Golden Knights | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1435 | 1570 |
| Surface Elo | 1435 | 1570 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.44 | 0.59 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 3.41 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.13 | 2.88 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 04 Nov | A | Tampa Bay Lightning | 2 - 4 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Florida Panthers | 5 - 3 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | St. Louis Blues | 4 - 5 | L |
| 29 Oct | H | Chicago Blackhawks | 4 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Edmonton Oilers | 4 - 3 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Pittsburgh Penguins | 3 - 2 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Boston Bruins | 2 - 3 | L |
| 30 Oct | H | New Jersey Devils | 2 - 5 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | Ottawa Senators | 4 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Columbus Blue Jackets | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Mar 2026 | Detroit Red Wings | 3 - 4 | Vegas Golden Knights |
| 05 Nov 2025 | Vegas Golden Knights | 1 - 0 | Detroit Red Wings |
| 23 Mar 2025 | Vegas Golden Knights | 6 - 3 | Detroit Red Wings |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Detroit Red Wings | 3 - 0 | Vegas Golden Knights |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 2.32 | 43.1% | 05 Nov 23:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 1.68 | 59.5% | 05 Nov 23:20 |