| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.4% | 58% | -6.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 37.2% | 62.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 57.8% | 42.2% |
| logistic | 53.2% | 46.8% |
| Adrian Andreev | Jonas Forejtek | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1555 | 1513 |
| Surface Elo | 1555 | 1513 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Sep | H | Izan Almazan Valiente | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Ivan Ivanov | 1 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Oleg Prihodko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Dusan Obradovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Jonas Forejtek | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Felix Gill | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Maxime Chazal | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Sebastian Gima | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Adrian Andreev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Adrian Andreev | 1 - 2 | Jonas Forejtek |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.72 | 58.1% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 26 Sep 06:15 |