| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.2% | 18% | +39.0% | |
| DC | Home or away | 82.7% | 85% | -2.0% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 71.2% | 23% | +48.4% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.3% | 69% | -3.6% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 63.8% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 24.1% | 23.3% | 52.6% |
| xgboost | 36.5% | 23.1% | 40.4% |
| logistic | 10.4% | 7.7% | 81.9% |
| Duisburg | Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1403 | 1658 |
| Surface Elo | 1403 | 1658 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Rest days | 2722 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Ingolstadt | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | FC Koln | 1 - 1 | D |
| 13 Oct | A | 1. FC Saarbrucken | 4 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Hoffenheim | 3 - 2 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | SV Wehen Wiesbaden | 4 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Paderborn | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Alemannia Aachen | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2 - 3 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Borussia M´gladbach | 2 - 3 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Atlético Madrid | 1 - 1 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.60 | 17.9% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.75 | 21.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.49 | 67.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.45 | 69.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.65 | 37.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |