| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.8% | 61% | -11.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 52.0% | 32.4% |
| xgboost | 39.4% | 58.0% |
| logistic | 53.9% | 46.1% |
| Colorado Avalanche | Dallas Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1590 | 1514 |
| Surface Elo | 1590 | 1514 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 4.83 | 2.17 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.17 | 1.83 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 5 W · 0 D |
| 14 Oct | A | Dallas Stars | 3 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Toronto Maple Leafs | 3 - 6 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Calgary Flames | 7 - 3 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Winnipeg Jets | 2 - 3 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | St. Louis Blues | 6 - 1 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Colorado Avalanche | 2 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Pittsburgh Penguins | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Buffalo Sabres | 4 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | San Jose Sharks | 5 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Nashville Predators | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Dallas Stars | 2 - 3 | Colorado Avalanche |
| 04 Apr 2026 | Dallas Stars | 0 - 2 | Colorado Avalanche |
| 19 Mar 2026 | Colorado Avalanche | 1 - 2 | Dallas Stars |
| 07 Mar 2026 | Dallas Stars | 4 - 5 | Colorado Avalanche |
| 12 Oct 2025 | Colorado Avalanche | 4 - 5 | Dallas Stars |
| 04 May 2025 | Dallas Stars | 4 - 2 | Colorado Avalanche |
| 02 May 2025 | Colorado Avalanche | 7 - 4 | Dallas Stars |
| 29 Apr 2025 | Dallas Stars | 6 - 2 | Colorado Avalanche |
| 27 Apr 2025 | Colorado Avalanche | 4 - 0 | Dallas Stars |
| 24 Apr 2025 | Colorado Avalanche | 1 - 2 | Dallas Stars |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.65 | 60.6% | 14 Oct 23:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.38 | 42.0% | 14 Oct 23:20 |