| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 61.1% | 69% | -7.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.9% | 40.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 56.1% | 43.8% |
| logistic | 58.4% | 41.6% |
| Sergey Fomin | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1446 | 1358 |
| Surface Elo | 1446 | 1358 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 9 | 30 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | H | Timofei Derepasko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Yi Zhou | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Khumoyun Sultanov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Martin Borisiouk | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Hiroki Moriya | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | Semen Pankin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | H | Yanki Erel | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | H | Max Basing | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.45 | 69.0% | 13 Oct 06:15 |