| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 78.4% | 97% | -18.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 15.1% | 84.8% |
| logistic | 16.4% | 83.6% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Makhlouf, Nazim | Aziz Dougaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1535 | 1587 |
| Surface Elo | 1535 | 1587 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.76 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.18 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.82 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | A | Tuncay Duran | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Goncalo Marques | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Nicolas John Jadoun | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Rahmani, Kasra | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Cesar Bouchelaghem | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Rahmani, Kasra | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Penzlin, J | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Nishesh Basavareddy | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Tom Gentzsch | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Damir Dzumhur | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.03 | 97.1% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 9.00 | 11.1% | 06 Nov 06:15 |