OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-09-27

NFL · Sunday 27 September 2026, 20:25 UTC · finished

Dallas Cowboys – 31 - 34 – Baltimore Ravens

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Away win	58.3%	64%	-5.4%	✓ hit

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	41.7%	58.3%

Inputs the models saw

	Dallas Cowboys	Baltimore Ravens
playoff	0.00
elo diff	-0.09
form diff	0.00
rest diff	-0.02
home field	0.00
point diff	-0.54
opponent strength diff	-0.01
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-09-26T20:25:00+00:00

Dallas Cowboys: last 5

20 Sep	H	Washington Commanders	37 - 20	W
14 Sep	A	New York Giants	20 - 28	L
04 Jan	A	New York Giants	17 - 34	L
25 Dec	A	Washington Commanders	30 - 23	W
21 Dec	H	Los Angeles Chargers	17 - 34	L

Baltimore Ravens: last 5

20 Sep	H	New Orleans Saints	17 - 24	L
13 Sep	A	Indianapolis Colts	41 - 23	W
05 Jan	A	Pittsburgh Steelers	24 - 26	L
28 Dec	A	Green Bay Packers	41 - 24	W
22 Dec	H	New England Patriots	24 - 28	L

Head to head

22 Sep 2024	Dallas Cowboys	25 - 28	Baltimore Ravens
09 Dec 2020	Baltimore Ravens	34 - 17	Dallas Cowboys
20 Nov 2016	Dallas Cowboys	27 - 17	Baltimore Ravens
14 Oct 2012	Baltimore Ravens	31 - 29	Dallas Cowboys
21 Dec 2008	Dallas Cowboys	24 - 33	Baltimore Ravens
21 Nov 2004	Baltimore Ravens	30 - 10	Dallas Cowboys
19 Nov 2000	Baltimore Ravens	27 - 0	Dallas Cowboys

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
No bookmaker lines stored.

Generated 2026-10-30 19:26 UTC